04 Apr 2025

light mode

Solana Hits $63: What Comes Next?

In the past three weeks, SOL has demonstrated remarkable growth, reaching a new annual high of $63.98. This naturally leads to questions about Solana’s immediate future, and we have some insights on this.

On this page

Since October 15, SOL has surged by 150%, and the project's market cap has surpassed $24 billion. Presently, the asset is ranked 7th among cryptocurrencies by Coingecko, overtaking projects like Cardano, Polygon, and Tron, among others.

Let's explore the reasons behind SOL's dramatic rise and assess whether it's still opportune to invest in the asset on the spot market.

Bitcoin: The Catalyst for the Local Altcoin Season

In just a month, Bitcoin has risen from $26,000 to $38,000, triggering a local altcoin season. It's not just Solana that has shown robust performance – in the last week, the coins of projects like Cronos, Chainlink, Kasta, and ImmutableX have increased by 50-60%.

Overlaying the cryptocurrency charts for SOL and BTC, there is a noticeable high correlation between these assets. The key difference is that SOL has achieved better performance in terms of percentage gains. 

Correlation between SOL and BTC. Source: tradingview.com

Correlation between SOL and BTC. Source: tradingview.com

Looking at the SOL/BTC cryptocurrency pair, one can also see Solana's dominance as illustrated by a two-month upward trend.

Chart of the SOL/BTC trading pair. Source: tradingview.com

Chart of the SOL/BTC trading pair. Source: tradingview.com

Overall Blockchain Statistics

As per the blockchain explorer Solscan, the number of circulating SOL coins stands at 421,166,520. The network is supported by 2,042 validators, with an average throughput exceeding 4,300 transactions per second.

General Characteristics of the Solana Blockchain. Source: solscan.io

General Characteristics of the Solana Blockchain. Source: solscan.io

The trading volumes of SOL and other tokens within the network are on the rise, but this growth is uneven, marked by certain spikes (like on October 22, and November 1, 10-11):

Trade Volume Dynamics on DEXs. Source solscan.io

Trade Volume Dynamics on DEXs. Source solscan.io

The network's throughput hasn't seen any substantial increase in the past few days and has even slightly decreased, remaining below 4,700 TPS. This indicates no abnormal spike in DeFi user activity.

TPS Metrics in the Solana Network. Source: solscan.io

TPS Metrics in the Solana Network. Source: solscan.io

The total number of transactions in the network also remains relatively close to average figures:

Number of Transactions in the Solana Network. Source: solscan.io

Number of Transactions in the Solana Network. Source: solscan.io

Concurrently, the rise in new and active accounts aligns proportionately with the DEX trading volume, exhibiting wave-like trends on certain days:

Old and New Wallet Activity in the Solana Network. Source: solscan.io

Old and New Wallet Activity in the Solana Network. Source: solscan.io

In conclusion, the Solana blockchain hasn't experienced any sharp uptick in activity, suggesting that the slight 10-15% increase is probably a direct result of the asset's price growth.

Positive News 

Solana has overcome the peak of market FUD, highlighted by news of the bankrupt FTX exchange holding over $1 billion in SOL tokens. The market digested this setback smoothly, and even the token sales involved in FTX’s legal case didn't plummet SOL's price.

Following this, the news landscape around Solana began to stabilize and even shifted to a more positive tone. For instance, Solana Labs recently initiated an incubator to draw startups to its blockchain platform, aiming to entice developers from other blockchains. Activities include a hackathon and an accelerator program for projects in AI development.

The company also continues to form significant partnerships with other projects. In late September, Visa integrated USDC stablecoin payments via the Solana blockchain, and shortly afterward, Solana Pay was incorporated into Shopify.

An additional contributing factor to the network's rising popularity is the increased transaction fees in EVM networks. While Ethereum's Gwei was around 8-12 during the summer, it has now escalated to over 30+. These elevated fees have made users hesitant to use the Ethereum network, positioning Solana as an appealing alternative. 

Solana’s TVL Increases Slower Than Its Price

Data from the analytical resource DeFiLlama shows that the Total Value Locked (TVL) in the Solana network is currently $538 million. Solscan reports this figure at $215 million, but it does not account for many decentralized applications. 

Solana TVL. Source: defillama.com

Solana TVL. Source: defillama.com

More crucial than the absolute figure of the locked funds is the rate of increase. While the SOL cryptocurrency's price soared by 150% in three weeks, the TVL only saw a 75% rise. Since roughly half of the funds in DeFi protocols are locked in SOL coins, the rise in the dollar equivalent of TVL could be simply attributed to the increase in SOL's price.

This trend suggests that DeFi user activity has not grown significantly, and the price increase in SOL is primarily driven by retail investors.

Is it a Good Time to Invest in SOL?

The all-time high for the cryptocurrency is at $260, and the asset is currently far from reaching this level. A similar situation is observed with the TVL indicator: its all-time high was $10 billion, which is 20 times greater than the present figures. This disparity suggests room for further growth in SOL's price, but this would require an increase in activity within the DeFi sector, not solely from speculative investors.

Additionally, it's worthwhile to pay attention to tokens within the Solana ecosystem related to decentralized exchanges, lending protocols, NFT projects, and others. When the SOL price is stagnant, these assets can demonstrate significant growth, offering greater short-term potential than the main SOL coin.

Regarding the overall uptrend, it's expected to persist as long as there's a rise in Bitcoin (BTC). 

The content on The Coinomist is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. While we strive to provide accurate and up-to-date information, we do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content. Neither we accept liability for any errors or omissions in the information provided or for any financial losses incurred as a result of relying on this information. Actions based on this content are at your own risk. Always do your own research and consult a professional. See our Terms, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers for more details.

Articles by this author
Genius Group Hit with New York Court Ban on Buying Bitcoin

Genius Group Hit with New York Court Ban on Buying Bitcoin

A New York court has temporarily banned Genius Group from fundraising or purchasing Bitcoin, a decision that has already led to the liquidation of part of its reserves.

Anton Kryshtal
Clanker Hits $13 Million Revenue with 200,000 Tokens on Base in Just 5 Months

Clanker Hits $13 Million Revenue with 200,000 Tokens on Base in Just 5 Months

Clanker, a token issuance platform on Base, has generated more than $13 million in revenue over the past five months. Users created over 200,000 tokens, with total transaction volume surpassing $2.7 billion.

Vlad Vovk
Babylon to Reward Early Bitcoin Stakers with 600M BABY Token Airdrop

Babylon to Reward Early Bitcoin Stakers with 600M BABY Token Airdrop

Babylon Foundation is gearing up for Genesis with a massive airdrop: 600M BABY tokens will be auto-distributed to Bitcoin stakers to lock in early support and spark long-term alignment.

Dmytro Psevdonimenko
Illinois Set to Drop Charges Against Coinbase in Staking Case

Illinois Set to Drop Charges Against Coinbase in Staking Case

Illinois is preparing to drop its case against Coinbase’s staking service, signaling another crack in the U.S. crackdown on crypto.

Anton Kryshtal
The Man Who Forgot $240M: A Bitcoin Tragedy for the Ages

The Man Who Forgot $240M: A Bitcoin Tragedy for the Ages

This is perhaps the most iconic crypto loss story of all time. In 2011, Stefan Thomas received 7,002 BTC for making a video. Today, that stash is worth $240 million. But he forgot the password. An entire fortune locked away forever.

Elina Moskovchuk
Sam Altman, ChatGPT, and the AI Spark That Lit Up Crypto

Sam Altman, ChatGPT, and the AI Spark That Lit Up Crypto

At the end of 2022, a public beta of an AI-powered product quietly launched. It looked like nothing more than a simple chat window. However, it turned out to be a global sensation.

Elina Moskovchuk
Hot Crypto Discussions on X Today: VPN Use, Trump Tariffs, and More

Hot Crypto Discussions on X Today: VPN Use, Trump Tariffs, and More

The crypto market faces a blow as Trump announces 10% tariffs on all countries, fueling economic uncertainty that impacts the financial sector.

Anahit Avetisyan
Fiat Money vs Commodity Money: What’s the Difference?

Fiat Money vs Commodity Money: What’s the Difference?

Explore the key differences between fiat money and commodity money. Learn about their intrinsic value, historical context, advantages, disadvantages, and real-world examples.

The Coinomist
Blockchain Trilemma: Explained with Real-World Examples

Blockchain Trilemma: Explained with Real-World Examples

In recent years, blockchain technology has gained immense popularity, being the backbone of cryptocurrencies, decentralized finance (DeFi), and various other applications. However, as the technology continues to evolve, a crucial problem has surfaced: the blockchain trilemma.

The Coinomist
How Is a Cryptocurrency Exchange Different from a Cryptocurrency Wallet?

How Is a Cryptocurrency Exchange Different from a Cryptocurrency Wallet?

A guide detailing the differences between cryptocurrency exchanges and wallets. Learn about their distinct roles, security features, liquidity, and user control in the digital asset ecosystem.

The Coinomist
What Are Assets? Differences Between Coins and Tokens

What Are Assets? Differences Between Coins and Tokens

Discover the meaning of assets in finance and crypto, and learn the key differences between coins and tokens to make informed investment decisions.

The Coinomist
What Is a Margin Call? An Essential Guide

What Is a Margin Call? An Essential Guide

A comprehensive guide to understanding margin calls in trading. Learn what triggers them, how they work, their risks, and strategies to manage or avoid them

The Coinomist
What Happens When Bitcoin Runs Out? Predictions and Strategies

What Happens When Bitcoin Runs Out? Predictions and Strategies

Explore what happens when Bitcoin reaches its 21 million supply cap. Learn how the shift from block rewards to transaction fees could impact miners, investors, and the entire ecosystem.

The Coinomist
Arthur Hayes Challenges Fed Independence in His New Essay “The BBC”

Arthur Hayes Challenges Fed Independence in His New Essay “The BBC”

In his latest essay “The BBC,” Arthur Hayes examines the emotional pressures on the Federal Reserve and the monetary policy challenges that could lead to increased liquidity in the crypto market.

Dmytro Psevdonimenko
Trump’s “US Crypto Reserve” Plan: A Game Changer or Just Talk?

Trump’s “US Crypto Reserve” Plan: A Game Changer or Just Talk?

It takes just one post from Trump to stir the crypto market. Recently, he announced on Truth Social that the evaluation of a strategic crypto reserve is in progress as part of his broader Trump crypto policy.

Anahit Avetisyan
MORE
Dubai Lets You Rent Homes and Cars With Bitcoin. Here’s What to Know

Dubai Lets You Rent Homes and Cars With Bitcoin. Here’s What to Know

Now, you can rent in Dubai with crypto, signing rental agreements using BTC, altcoins, or USDT for both short-term vacations and long-term stays as an expat.

Yara Zornell
Why Lisbon is Now Emerging as The Newest World’s Crypto Capital

Why Lisbon is Now Emerging as The Newest World’s Crypto Capital

Imagine a city of hills, narrow cobblestone streets, and fado music drifting from cozy bars. This is Lisbon, the capital of Portugal, now rapidly transforming into a modern crypto city.

Iaroslava Kramarenko
MORE